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Expert NFL picks can be hard to come by. The point spread makes it even harder. The professionals who set point spreads generally have more knowledge and experience than anyone picking the games. They may even have access to information you don’t. Being an expert does not mean that you will win every game. You must be selective in the games you pick. You will win if you are careful.

First, you must remember that experts are setting the point spreads. These experts are not only prediction which team will win and by how many points, they are attempting to balance the amount of money that gets beat on each side. They will adjust the spread to adjust the betting. Points spreads will often change leading up to games based on the money being bet. This is often seen prior to Super Bowls. If you see a game that stands out to you when the point spreads are released, bet the game, don’t wait.

Second, you must remember that football is unpredictable. No matter how much you analyze or study, strange things tend to happen. Injuries, weather conditions, turnovers, and last second score changes are a part of the game. You can be and expert and still lose when you should win. You will also get some gift wins when you should lose.

The third thing to remember is that you do not have to pick every game every week. Play only those games that you think you will win. You can pick individual games or you can pick multiple games on a parlay card, but only pick the games you feel good about.

The most important thing is to not get emotionally involved with your picks. Emotional picks are generally losing picks. Picking winners based on favorite mascots or colors, hometowns or favorite teams leads to losses. Remain impartial. Don’t pick games involving your favorite team, school or city. Making exceptions generally leads to pain. Learn the hard way if you must. This is often the hardest thing to control, however the are numerous tales of winners becoming losers due to one irrational pick.

Remember that there no sure things, however if you follow these rules you will minimize your losses and when you have the inevitable good or great weeks, they will far outweigh the bad weeks.

You can learn to make expert NFL picks.

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